| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.8% | 47% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.0% | 78% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.9% | 66% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 57% | -0.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.2% | 32.3% | 27.5% |
| xgboost | 43.0% | 27.4% | 29.6% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 28.3% | 25.2% |
| Juve Stabia | Sudtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Oct | H | US Palmese 1914 | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Cesena | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Vicenza | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Arezzo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Arezzo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Reggiana | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 May 2026 | Sudtirol | 1 - 1 | Juve Stabia |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Juve Stabia | 1 - 0 | Sudtirol |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Sudtirol | 2 - 0 | Juve Stabia |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Juve Stabia | 2 - 1 | Sudtirol |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.76 | 56.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |