| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.5% | 71% | -17.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| logistic | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Madison Brengle | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.45 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.73 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.55 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Chang, H | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Astra Sharma | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Lea Ma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Aspen Schuman | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | McKenna Schaefbauer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Whitney Osuigwe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Janice Tjen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Janice Tjen | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 15 Oct 06:15 |