| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 85% | -26.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.7% | 46.2% |
| logistic | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Oleksii Krutykh | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1437 | 1328 |
| Surface Elo | 1437 | 1328 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 41 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Aug | A | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Chun Hsin Tseng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Nick Hardt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Daniel Siniakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Michael Agwi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Andres Santamarta Roig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |