OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Bielefeld 0.80 2 - 2 2.40 Heidenheim
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.7%no line✗ miss
DCHome or away 84.3%no line✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 67.6%no linevoid
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.1%no line✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.8%24.5%34.7%
xgboost39.3%27.3%33.4%
logistic36.7%30.7%32.6%
Inputs the models saw
BielefeldHeidenheim
Elo (pre-match)13941526
Surface Elo13941526
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.40
Form trend0.20-0.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days86
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 5 D
Bielefeld: last 5
11 SepADarmstadt1 - 2L
04 SepHSt Pauli2 - 2D
29 AugANurnberg1 - 4L
16 AugHCottbus3 - 0W
08 AugAKarlsruhe1 - 2L
Heidenheim: last 5
13 SepHHolstein Kiel1 - 0W
06 SepAGreuther Furth1 - 0W
29 AugHDresden5 - 3W
15 AugAHertha Berlin1 - 4L
08 AugHOsnabruck4 - 3W
Head to head
26 Feb 2023Bielefeld0 - 1Heidenheim
21 Aug 2022Heidenheim1 - 1Bielefeld
28 Jun 2020Bielefeld3 - 0Heidenheim
14 Dec 2019Heidenheim0 - 0Bielefeld
22 Dec 2018Bielefeld1 - 2Heidenheim
05 Aug 2018Heidenheim1 - 1Bielefeld
04 Mar 2018Heidenheim2 - 2Bielefeld
23 Sep 2017Bielefeld1 - 1Heidenheim
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 19:27 UTC