| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.6% | 44% | +5.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.2% | 76% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.4% | 63% | +2.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 45% | +9.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.7% | 33.4% | 19.9% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 33.9% | 28.1% |
| logistic | 41.6% | 29.7% | 28.8% |
| Sochaux | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1435 | 1379 |
| Surface Elo | 1435 | 1379 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Laval | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Pau FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Clermont | 0 - 0 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Guingamp | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Clermont | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Sep | H | Dijon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Montpellier | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |