| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.7% | 73% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 19.4% | 80.6% |
| logistic | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Max Wiskandt | Carlos Taberner | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1461 | 1626 |
| Surface Elo | 1461 | 1626 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Jun | A | Diego Dedura | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | Max Wiskandt |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 23 Sep 06:15 |