| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 73% | -16.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.4% | 64.5% |
| logistic | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Rodrigo Fernandes | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1508 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1508 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Oliver Ojakaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nicolas Arseneault | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mikael Arseneault | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Eric David Verdes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 May | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Rafael Ymer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Jack Secord | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Eli Stephenson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Felipe Pinzon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Theo Papamalamis | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |