| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.9% | 85% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 20.2% | 79.7% |
| logistic | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| Alexander Shevchenko | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1739 | 1906 |
| Surface Elo | 1739 | 1906 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 25 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Jul | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Jul | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Ben Shelton | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Damir Dzumhur | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 18 Mar 2024 | Alexander Shevchenko | 1 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 05 Feb 2024 | Alexander Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Alexander Shevchenko | 1 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.19 | 84.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.00 | 20.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |