| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.2% | 53% | -6.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.8% | 80% | -5.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.1% | 71% | -9.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 51% | +4.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.9% | 29.6% | 31.6% |
| xgboost | 44.3% | 30.6% | 25.1% |
| logistic | 45.4% | 29.4% | 25.2% |
| Wigan | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1399 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1399 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Leicester | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Leicester | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Huddersfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Huddersfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Oxford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Peterboro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Peterborough United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Leicester | 0 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |