| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 53% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.6% | 53.3% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Karl Poling | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1430 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1430 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Maxwell Exsted | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Alex Rybakov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Iker Urribarrens Ramirez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Patrick Zahraj | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Govind Nanda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Kaylan Bigun | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Shunsuke Mitsui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Patrick Zahraj | 2 - 1 | Karl Poling |
| 11 Nov 2024 | Karl Poling | 0 - 2 | Patrick Zahraj |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Oct 06:15 |