| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.0% | 65% | -4.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.2% | 38.7% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Bianca Andreescu | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1517 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1517 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mia Ristic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Anna Blinkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Mariam Bolkvadze | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Smith, Alana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Mair, Laura | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Ayla Aksu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Noma Noha Akugue | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |