| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.2% | 82% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| logistic | 73.4% | 26.6% |
| Belinda Bencic | Anastasia Zakharova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1806 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1806 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 34 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Anastasia Zakharova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Yulia Putintseva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Lois Boisson | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Alexandra Eala | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Shao, Yushan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Belinda Bencic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Yushan Shao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | 0 - 2 | Belinda Bencic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.60 | 21.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |