| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 55% | -0.6% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.2% | 80% | +0.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.4% | 73% | -0.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 64% | -9.4% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.4% | 22.6% | 22.0% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 24.3% | 21.4% |
| logistic | 55.5% | 25.2% | 19.4% |
| Southampton | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1697 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1697 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | West Ham | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | West Ham | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bolton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Bolton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 14 Oct | A | Norwich | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Swansea | 5 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Swansea | 5 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Birmingham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Birmingham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Derby | 4 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Southampton | 5 - 1 | QPR |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Southampton | 5 - 0 | QPR |
| 05 Nov 2025 | QPR | 1 - 2 | Southampton |
| 23 Dec 2023 | QPR | 0 - 1 | Southampton |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Southampton | 2 - 1 | QPR |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.14 | 24.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.04 | 24.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |