| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.1% | 35% | +10.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 79% | -3.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.7% | 48% | +9.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 51% | +2.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.3% | 27.0% | 40.7% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 26.0% | 42.3% |
| logistic | 32.5% | 26.1% | 41.4% |
| Peterhead | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1366 | 1425 |
| Surface Elo | 1366 | 1425 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Montrose | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Montrose | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Queen of the South FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Queen of the South FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Queen of Sth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Annan Athletic | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Alloa | 1 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Alloa | 1 - 2 | Peterhead |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Peterhead | 3 - 1 | Alloa |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Alloa | 4 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | Alloa |
| 25 Mar 2023 | Peterhead | 0 - 2 | Alloa |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Alloa | 1 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Peterhead | 0 - 2 | Alloa |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Alloa | 5 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Alloa | 1 - 0 | Peterhead |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |