| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.4% | 83% | -12.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 13.4% | 86.5% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Boris Arias | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1340 | 1380 |
| Surface Elo | 1340 | 1380 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 188 | 104 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Mar | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Mar | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Gerard Campana Lee | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Gonzalo Villanueva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Matias Soto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Jun | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Murkel Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | A | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.25 | 23.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |