OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Italy Serie A · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Cagliari 2.00 0 - 2 1.00 Bologna
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.0%32%+11.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.8%71%+3.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 53.7%46%+7.8%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.3%46%+11.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.0%29.0%37.1%
xgboost38.3%26.3%35.5%
logistic40.2%28.1%31.7%
Inputs the models saw
CagliariBologna
Elo (pre-match)16561655
Surface Elo16561655
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.00
Form trend0.80-0.10
Season points per game0.501.50
Season goals for / game0.501.50
Season goals against / game2.502.00
Rest days46
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Cagliari: last 5
19 OctAMonza0 - 4L
19 OctAMonza0 - 4L
12 OctHMonza1 - 1D
11 OctHJuventus1 - 1D
11 OctHJuventus1 - 1D
Bologna: last 5
17 OctHInter1 - 3L
17 OctHInter1 - 3L
11 OctALecce2 - 1W
11 OctALecce2 - 1W
19 SepHTorino1 - 1D
Head to head
03 May 2026Bologna0 - 0Cagliari
19 Oct 2025Cagliari0 - 2Bologna
02 Mar 2025Bologna2 - 1Cagliari
29 Oct 2024Cagliari0 - 2Bologna
14 Jan 2024Cagliari2 - 1Bologna
02 Sep 2023Bologna2 - 1Cagliari
11 Jan 2022Cagliari2 - 1Bologna
01 Nov 2021Bologna2 - 0Cagliari
03 Mar 2021Cagliari1 - 0Bologna
31 Oct 2020Bologna3 - 2Cagliari
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5738.9%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.1831.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1531.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2045.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7258.1%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC