OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-01
🎾 ATP Challenger Columbus, USA Men Singles · Thursday 01 October 2026, 16:10 UTC · finished
Aidan Mayo 1.20 2 - 0 1.20 Colton Smith
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 59.2%69%-9.8%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov49.2%50.8%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost38.2%61.7%
logistic39.8%60.2%
Inputs the models saw
Aidan MayoColton Smith
Elo (pre-match)15031630
Surface Elo15031630
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.20
Form trend0.00-0.60
Season points per game1.002.00
Season goals for / game1.001.33
Season goals against / game1.330.67
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Aidan Mayo: last 5
29 SepANikita Filin2 - 0W
28 SepAAbdullah Shelbayh0 - 2L
28 SepHColton Smith2 - 0W
28 SepHNikita Samuel Filin2 - 0W
21 SepHSebastian Gorzny0 - 2L
Colton Smith: last 5
29 SepADuncan Chan2 - 0W
28 SepAAidan Mayo0 - 2L
28 SepHDuncan Chan2 - 0W
24 SepATimo Legout0 - 2L
22 SepAStefan Kozlov2 - 0W
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Aidan Mayo2 - 0Colton Smith
05 Aug 2024Aidan Mayo2 - 0Colton Smith
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.4569.0%01 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%01 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC