| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.9% | 53% | +0.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.5% | 41.3% |
| xgboost | 43.7% | 55.6% |
| logistic | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Winnipeg Jets | Montréal Canadiens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1570 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1570 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 2 - 3 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 5 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 4 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 05 Feb 2026 | Winnipeg Jets | 1 - 5 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 04 Dec 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 2 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 29 Jan 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 1 - 4 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.03 | 49.3% | 25 Oct 17:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.88 | 53.2% | 25 Oct 17:20 |