| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.5% | 77% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 92.6% | 93% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 91.4% | 91% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.9% | 75% | +12.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.0% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| xgboost | 63.4% | 20.1% | 16.5% |
| logistic | 73.4% | 17.2% | 9.3% |
| Feyenoord | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1723 | 1605 |
| Surface Elo | 1723 | 1605 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.33 | 0.83 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.33 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 3.17 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Zwolle | 7 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Nijmegen | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Den Haag | 2 - 2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | Cambuur | 5 - 2 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Excelsior | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Sep | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 - 3 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 6 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 3 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 4 | L |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Utrecht | 0 - 1 | Feyenoord |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 3 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Feyenoord | 1 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Utrecht | 0 - 2 | Feyenoord |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Feyenoord | 4 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 03 Sep 2023 | Utrecht | 1 - 5 | Feyenoord |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Feyenoord | 3 - 1 | Utrecht |
| 08 Jan 2023 | Utrecht | 1 - 1 | Feyenoord |
| 24 Apr 2022 | Feyenoord | 2 - 1 | Utrecht |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Utrecht | 3 - 1 | Feyenoord |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 9.50 | 10.5% | 20 Sep 11:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.75 | 17.4% | 20 Sep 11:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 20 Sep 11:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.30 | 76.9% | 20 Sep 11:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 20 Sep 11:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.60 | 11.6% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.37 | 15.7% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.25 | 30.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |