| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 61% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Harold Mayot | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1718 | 1697 |
| Surface Elo | 1718 | 1697 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jesper De Jong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| 20 Mar 2023 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |