OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-29
🎾 ATP Chengdu, China Men Singles · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Hubert Hurkacz 2.40 0 - 2 2.40 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 53.0%44%+8.6%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov56.0%44.0%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost44.5%55.4%
logistic43.4%56.6%
Inputs the models saw
Hubert HurkaczAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
Elo (pre-match)19391965
Surface Elo19391965
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.40
Form trend-0.60-0.30
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game2.002.00
Season goals against / game0.500.33
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W4 W · 0 D
Hubert Hurkacz: last 5
29 SepAAlejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 2L
28 SepHDenis Shapovalov2 - 1W
28 SepADenis Shapovalov2 - 1W
27 SepALloyd Harris2 - 0W
27 SepHLloyd Harris2 - 0W
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5
29 SepHHubert Hurkacz2 - 0W
28 SepANikoloz Basilashvili2 - 1W
28 SepHNikoloz Basilashvili2 - 1W
27 SepAAlexandre Muller2 - 0W
27 SepHAlexandre Muller2 - 0W
Head to head
29 Sep 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 0Hubert Hurkacz
01 Jan 2024Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 1Hubert Hurkacz
27 Jun 2022Alejandro Davidovich Fokina3 - 2Hubert Hurkacz
02 May 2022Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Hubert Hurkacz
16 Aug 2021Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Hubert Hurkacz
22 Feb 2021Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 0Hubert Hurkacz
31 Aug 2020Alejandro Davidovich Fokina3 - 1Hubert Hurkacz
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%29 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%29 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC