| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.6% | 71% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.9% | 73.0% |
| logistic | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Andrej Nedic | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1542 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1542 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.36 |
| Rest days | 4 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Ioannis Xilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Karl Friberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Filippo Romano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Max Houkes | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jacopo Vasami | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |