OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-11
🎾 ATP Challenger Roanne, France, Men Singles · Sunday 11 October 2026, 08:00 UTC · finished
Tom Paris 0.00 2 - 1 1.20 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.2%60%-3.3%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost42.9%57.0%
logistic46.9%53.1%
markovabstained: no serve/return ratings for this match
Inputs the models saw
Tom ParisYanis Ghazouani Durand
Elo (pre-match)14871480
Surface Elo14871480
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.20
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game0.001.20
Season goals for / game0.000.80
Season goals against / game2.001.20
Rest days1311
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Tom Paris: last 5
27 SepANiels Visker0 - 2L
25 MayALukas Pokorny1 - 2L
06 AprAIlia Simakin1 - 2L
09 MarALucas Poullain0 - 2L
02 MarAOtto Virtanen1 - 2L
Yanis Ghazouani Durand: last 5
29 SepHNicolai Budkov Kjaer0 - 1L
28 SepALeonardo Rossi1 - 0W
28 SepANicolai Budkov Kjaer0 - 2L
27 SepHEmile Hudd2 - 1W
20 SepHKarl Poling0 - 2L
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6859.5%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC