OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-06
⚽ France Ligue 1 · Friday 06 November 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Toulouse 1.60 3 - 1 0.60 Strasbourg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 45.7%46%-0.7%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.6%76%-0.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.9%62%-2.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.7%62%-6.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson42.4%25.3%32.3%
xgboost48.2%24.2%27.6%
logistic41.9%27.0%31.1%
Inputs the models saw
ToulouseStrasbourg
Elo (pre-match)16451683
Surface Elo16451683
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.60
Form trend0.60-0.60
Season points per game1.250.75
Season goals for / game1.251.75
Season goals against / game1.002.25
Rest days55
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
Toulouse: last 5
01 NovAMarseille0 - 2L
01 NovAMarseille0 - 2L
25 OctHTroyes0 - 0D
25 OctHTroyes0 - 0D
16 OctALe Mans3 - 0W
Strasbourg: last 5
01 NovHAuxerre5 - 1W
01 NovHAuxerre5 - 1W
25 OctARennes0 - 3L
25 OctARennes0 - 3L
17 OctHParis Saint Germain1 - 3L
Head to head
03 May 2026Strasbourg1 - 2Toulouse
06 Dec 2025Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
16 Mar 2025Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
12 Jan 2025Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
07 Apr 2024Toulouse0 - 0Strasbourg
27 Aug 2023Strasbourg2 - 0Toulouse
29 Jan 2023Strasbourg1 - 2Toulouse
23 Oct 2022Toulouse2 - 2Strasbourg
05 Feb 2020Toulouse0 - 1Strasbourg
07 Dec 2019Strasbourg4 - 2Toulouse
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.3929.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8126.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1646.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6660.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC