| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.0% | 38% | +10.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 73.2% | 71% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.6% | 54% | +9.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 47% | +4.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.7% | 30.5% | 45.8% |
| xgboost | 29.6% | 25.9% | 44.4% |
| logistic | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% |
| Cultural Leonesa | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1354 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1354 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 119 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | CD Coria | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Extremadura UD | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 May | A | Sociedad B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 May | H | Burgos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 May | H | Eibar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Las Palmas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Las Palmas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Ceuta | 3 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Oviedo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | Sociedad B | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 May 2026 | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 2 | Burgos |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Burgos | 5 - 1 | Cultural Leonesa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.61 | 62.1% | 27 Sep 06:15 |