| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.5% | 69% | -8.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 60.5% | 39.4% |
| logistic | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Filippo Romano | Kenny De Schepper | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 384 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Brunclik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Stan Wawrinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Jul | H | Patrick Zahraj | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Jul | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 May | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |