| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 52% | -0.4% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| logistic | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Holger Rune | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1838 | 1830 |
| Surface Elo | 1838 | 1830 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 19 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Ugo Humbert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alexander Blockx | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Coleman Wong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 May 2025 | Holger Rune | 3 - 2 | Quentin Halys |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Holger Rune | 3 - 2 | Quentin Halys |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.95 | 51.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.87 | 53.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.87 | 53.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.96 | 51.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Quentin Halys | 2.02 | 49.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Holger Rune | 1.98 | 50.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Quentin Halys | 2.06 | 48.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.93 | 51.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.98 | 50.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Holger Rune | 2.02 | 49.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Quentin Halys | 2.08 | 48.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.92 | 52.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.97 | 50.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.80 | 55.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.83 | 54.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.93 | 51.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.83 | 54.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.84 | 54.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.95 | 51.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.92 | 52.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.94 | 51.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Holger Rune | 1.86 | 53.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Quentin Halys | 1.86 | 53.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |