| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| CA Progreso | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Liverpool Montevideo | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Racing Club Montevideo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | CA Boston River | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | CA Progreso | 3 - 2 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Montevideo Wanderers | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Central Espanol FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Colon FC | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Racing Club Montevideo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo | 3 - 2 | CA Progreso |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |