| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | New York Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | 0.40 | |
| form diff | 0.38 | |
| rest diff | -0.02 | |
| home field | 1.00 | |
| point diff | 0.46 | |
| opponent strength diff | 0.03 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00 | |
| 01 Nov | A | Denver Broncos | 24 - 28 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Seattle Seahawks | 3 - 20 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Los Angeles Chargers | 22 - 6 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Las Vegas Raiders | 30 - 27 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Miami Dolphins | 24 - 10 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Las Vegas Raiders | 33 - 38 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Miami Dolphins | 25 - 28 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | New England Patriots | 19 - 26 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Cleveland Browns | 17 - 12 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Chicago Bears | 12 - 23 | L |
| 02 Oct 2023 | New York Jets | 20 - 23 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Kansas City Chiefs | 35 - 9 | New York Jets |
| 03 Dec 2017 | New York Jets | 38 - 31 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 25 Sep 2016 | Kansas City Chiefs | 24 - 3 | New York Jets |
| 02 Nov 2014 | Kansas City Chiefs | 24 - 10 | New York Jets |
| 11 Dec 2011 | New York Jets | 37 - 10 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 26 Oct 2008 | New York Jets | 28 - 24 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 30 Dec 2007 | New York Jets | 13 - 10 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 11 Sep 2005 | Kansas City Chiefs | 27 - 7 | New York Jets |
| 06 Oct 2002 | New York Jets | 25 - 29 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.20 | 83.3% | 08 Nov 14:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 5.11 | 19.6% | 08 Nov 14:20 |