| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.2% | 62% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 66.4% |
| logistic | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1397 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1397 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Julian Cundom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Ian Vertberger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Hernan Casanova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Tomas Farjat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Julian Cundom | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |