| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.6% | 40% | +2.6% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 78% | -3.0% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.9% | 54% | +0.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 41% | +11.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.0% | 25.9% | 38.0% |
| xgboost | 27.3% | 26.8% | 45.8% |
| logistic | 41.7% | 28.0% | 30.3% |
| Barnsley | Oxford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1558 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1558 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Reading | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Reading | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Luton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Luton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cambridge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Stockport | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Stockport | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Wigan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Oxford | 0 - 1 | Barnsley |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Barnsley | 1 - 3 | Oxford |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Barnsley | 2 - 0 | Oxford |
| 01 Feb 2023 | Oxford | 1 - 2 | Barnsley |
| 29 Jan 2019 | Oxford | 2 - 2 | Barnsley |
| 04 Aug 2018 | Barnsley | 4 - 0 | Oxford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |