| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 47% | +11.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| logistic | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Yaroslav Demin | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1377 | 1412 |
| Surface Elo | 1377 | 1412 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Beibit Zhukayev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Mar | A | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Li Tu | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tai Sach | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 14 Oct 06:15 |