| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.1% | 38% | +12.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.4% | 78% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.4% | 53% | +12.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 57% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.9% | 23.3% | 23.8% |
| xgboost | 20.2% | 27.7% | 52.1% |
| logistic | 8.7% | 12.2% | 79.1% |
| Livorno | Pescara | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1275 | 1371 |
| Surface Elo | 1275 | 1371 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2254 | 147 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | H | US Pianese | 3 - 2 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Jul | H | Empoli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Pescara | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Jul | H | Crotone | 1 - 5 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Spezia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Vado FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | SS Monopoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 May | H | Spezia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 May | A | Padova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Jul 2020 | Pescara | 1 - 0 | Livorno |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Livorno | 0 - 2 | Pescara |
| 27 Jan 2019 | Livorno | 0 - 0 | Pescara |
| 02 Sep 2018 | Pescara | 2 - 1 | Livorno |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |