| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | 56% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Stefano Napolitano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1510 | 1594 |
| Surface Elo | 1510 | 1594 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Sanchez Quilez, Alejo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Stefano Napolitano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Jaume Munar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Marti Pujolras, Alex | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Stefano Travaglia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Henry Bernet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | Stefano Napolitano |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 16 Sep 06:15 |