| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.2% | 52% | -7.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 82% | -7.5% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.8% | 69% | -10.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 49% | +2.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.6% | 27.7% | 33.7% |
| xgboost | 44.4% | 29.0% | 26.6% |
| logistic | 41.8% | 26.4% | 31.8% |
| Stirling | Forfar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1328 | 1353 |
| Surface Elo | 1328 | 1353 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Kelty Hearts | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Kelty Hearts | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Annan Athletic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Elgin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Elgin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Forfar | 3 - 0 | Stirling |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Stirling | 0 - 3 | Forfar |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Forfar | 0 - 1 | Stirling |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Stirling | 0 - 4 | Forfar |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Forfar | 4 - 2 | Stirling |
| 03 May 2025 | Forfar | 0 - 0 | Stirling |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Stirling | 3 - 1 | Forfar |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Forfar | 2 - 2 | Stirling |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Stirling | 2 - 1 | Forfar |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Stirling | 2 - 1 | Forfar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |