| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.8% | 38% | +15.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Emerson Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Moyuka Uchijima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Jan | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Alevtina Ibragimova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Wu, Ru Xi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 08 Oct 06:15 |