| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.3% | 70% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| logistic | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Diana Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1658 | 1796 |
| Surface Elo | 1658 | 1796 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | H | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Noskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Janice Tjen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Janice Tjen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Taylor Townsend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Karolina Pliskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Diana Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Ekaterina Alexandrova |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Ekaterina Alexandrova |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | Ekaterina Alexandrova |
| 31 Mar 2025 | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Ekaterina Alexandrova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |