| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 38% | +14.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| logistic | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Joshua Sheehy | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1440 | 1415 |
| Surface Elo | 1440 | 1415 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 25 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Samir Banerjee | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Alexander Kotzen | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |