| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 55% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Benjamin Torrealba | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Samuel Heredia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.91 | 52.4% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |