| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.8% | 74% | -20.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.8% | 95% | -15.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.3% | 91% | -20.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 75% | -14.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.8% | 24.4% | 26.8% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 26.4% | 20.0% |
| logistic | 63.6% | 25.7% | 10.7% |
| Heidenheim | Wurzburger Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1364 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1364 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 1957 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Greuther Furth | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 May | H | Paderborn | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 May | A | Braunschweig | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 May | H | Osnabruck | 1 - 3 | L |
| 23 Apr | A | Karlsruhe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Apr | H | Darmstadt | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Mar 2021 | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 - 2 | Heidenheim |
| 06 Nov 2020 | Heidenheim | 4 - 1 | Wurzburger Kickers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.20 | 16.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.34 | 74.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.90 | 34.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |