OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scottish Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · abandoned
Morton 1.20 14:00 1.40 Ayr
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 42.4%33%+9.5%abandoned
DCHome or away 73.5%79%-5.9%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 53.4%45%+8.2%abandoned
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 56.9%54%+2.6%abandoned
BTTSBTTS no 51.6%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson33.7%30.7%35.6%
xgboost35.7%28.8%35.6%
logistic40.1%28.7%31.3%
Inputs the models saw
MortonAyr
Elo (pre-match)14281479
Surface Elo14281479
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.40
Form trend-0.900.50
Season points per game0.641.09
Season goals for / game0.820.91
Season goals against / game1.641.09
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 6 D
Morton: last 5
17 OctHQueens Park2 - 0W
17 OctHQueens Park2 - 0W
10 OctAArbroath2 - 1W
10 OctAArbroath2 - 1W
03 OctHRaith Rovers FC1 - 2L
Ayr: last 5
16 OctHPartick0 - 1L
16 OctHPartick0 - 1L
10 OctHDunfermline1 - 1D
10 OctHDunfermline1 - 1D
03 OctALivingston2 - 1W
Head to head
29 Aug 2026Ayr1 - 1Morton
21 Mar 2026Ayr0 - 1Morton
27 Dec 2025Morton1 - 1Ayr
18 Oct 2025Ayr2 - 1Morton
23 Aug 2025Morton2 - 2Ayr
08 Mar 2025Morton2 - 1Ayr
28 Dec 2024Ayr0 - 0Morton
08 Nov 2024Morton1 - 1Ayr
28 Sep 2024Ayr1 - 0Morton
09 Apr 2024Ayr1 - 1Morton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.1047.6%24 Oct 06:01
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%24 Oct 06:01
Bet3651X2home2.9034.5%24 Oct 06:01
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%24 Oct 06:01
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8554.0%24 Oct 06:01
SportyBet1X2away2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2031.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9551.3%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8354.6%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC