| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.0% | 77% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Jenson Brooksby | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1767 | 1626 |
| Surface Elo | 1767 | 1626 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gabriel Debru | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Timo Legout | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Edward Winter | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 0 | Timo Legout |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |