OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:45 UTC · scheduled
Heerenveen 2.00 17:45 0.80 Nijmegen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.1%47%-2.8%
DCHome or away 74.1%79%-5.0%
DNBHome (DNB) 57.3%62%-4.4%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.1%72%-12.1%
BTTSBTTS yes 56.2%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.3%24.1%36.6%
xgboost39.8%31.9%28.3%
logistic41.3%28.3%30.4%
Inputs the models saw
HeerenveenNijmegen
Elo (pre-match)15901578
Surface Elo15901578
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.80
Form trend-0.40-0.20
Season points per game2.251.00
Season goals for / game2.751.50
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Heerenveen: last 5
28 OctAExcelsior2 - 0W
24 OctADen Haag3 - 2W
24 OctADen Haag3 - 2W
16 OctHExcelsior4 - 0W
16 OctHExcelsior4 - 0W
Nijmegen: last 5
25 OctHGroningen2 - 2D
25 OctHGroningen2 - 2D
18 OctHFor Sittard2 - 2D
18 OctHFortuna Sittard2 - 2D
10 OctAAjax1 - 1D
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Nijmegen2 - 2Heerenveen
21 Sep 2025Heerenveen3 - 2Nijmegen
27 Apr 2025Heerenveen1 - 0Nijmegen
19 Oct 2024Nijmegen3 - 0Heerenveen
10 Mar 2024Nijmegen2 - 0Heerenveen
07 Oct 2023Heerenveen1 - 1Nijmegen
06 May 2023Nijmegen2 - 3Heerenveen
04 Sep 2022Heerenveen0 - 0Nijmegen
13 Feb 2022Heerenveen0 - 1Nijmegen
06 Nov 2021Nijmegen1 - 1Heerenveen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.1431.9%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0524.7%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1546.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3971.9%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.1032.3%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 13:59 UTC