OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
St Truiden 1.40 0 - 2 1.40 Westerlo
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 64.9%61%+4.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 86.3%84%+2.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 80.1%79%+0.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 78.9%69%+9.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 66.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.8%22.7%25.5%
xgboost47.7%25.3%27.0%
logistic52.3%25.5%22.2%
Inputs the models saw
St TruidenWesterlo
Elo (pre-match)16111542
Surface Elo16111542
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend0.20-0.90
Season points per game1.331.17
Season goals for / game2.002.17
Season goals against / game1.672.67
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
St Truiden: last 5
12 SepAWaasland-Beveren0 - 2L
05 SepHRAAL La Louviere4 - 0W
02 SepHSt. Gilloise0 - 3L
30 AugAAntwerp4 - 1W
14 AugACercle Brugge3 - 3D
Westerlo: last 5
12 SepHStandard4 - 2W
05 SepAMechelen4 - 0W
30 AugHWaregem2 - 2D
23 AugALommel SK0 - 4L
15 AugAGenk2 - 3L
Head to head
06 Feb 2026Westerlo0 - 4St Truiden
14 Sep 2025St Truiden0 - 3Westerlo
11 Jan 2025Westerlo1 - 2St Truiden
26 Oct 2024St Truiden2 - 0Westerlo
03 May 2024Westerlo2 - 2St Truiden
31 Mar 2024St Truiden2 - 0Westerlo
24 Feb 2024St Truiden1 - 0Westerlo
10 Nov 2023Westerlo3 - 3St Truiden
19 Feb 2023St Truiden0 - 1Westerlo
29 Oct 2022Westerlo2 - 3St Truiden
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.7521.1%20 Sep 15:00
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%20 Sep 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.5763.7%20 Sep 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4469.4%20 Sep 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.7037.0%20 Sep 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 19:27 UTC