| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 59% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| logistic | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Erika Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1438 | 1521 |
| Surface Elo | 1438 | 1521 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Lizette Cabrera | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Caroline Werner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Ida Wobker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Li, Zongyu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Monteleone, Giulia Alessia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Lois Boisson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Elena Pridankina | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |