| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.4% | 38% | +7.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 76% | -0.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.1% | 52% | +4.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 61% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.9% | 27.5% | 36.7% |
| xgboost | 35.2% | 30.5% | 34.3% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 23.9% | 32.1% |
| Como | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1790 | 1838 |
| Surface Elo | 1790 | 1838 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 20 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Frosinone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Parma | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Genoa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Napoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Udinese | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Inter | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | A | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Lecce | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Fiorentina | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Como | 2 - 1 | Roma |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Roma | 1 - 0 | Como |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Roma | 2 - 1 | Como |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Como | 2 - 0 | Roma |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 11 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 11 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 11 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 11 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Oct 11:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.62 | 27.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.59 | 38.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |