| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 62% | -7.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 54.5% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Kenta Miyoshi | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1660 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1660 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Keshav Chopra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 0 | Murphy Cassone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |