| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.9% | 65% | -0.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Tom Gentzsch | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1690 | 1540 |
| Surface Elo | 1690 | 1540 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alan Wazny | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Massimo Giunta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Kacper Knitter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Sebastian Sorger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | Tom Gentzsch |
| 02 Feb 2026 | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | Tom Gentzsch |
| 05 Jan 2026 | Martin Krumich | 1 - 2 | Tom Gentzsch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 16 Sep 06:15 |