| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.0% | 57% | -12.5% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.3% | 81% | -6.7% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.7% | 75% | -15.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 63% | -6.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.2% | 25.3% | 41.6% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 25.0% | 44.6% |
| logistic | 26.7% | 29.2% | 44.1% |
| Rochdale | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1504 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1504 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | H | Doncaster | 1 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Port Vale | 2 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Port Vale | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Accrington | 0 - 5 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Bradford | 0 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Northampton | 4 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Grimsby | 2 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Grimsby | 2 - 5 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | York |
| 11 Nov 2025 | York | 4 - 1 | Rochdale |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Rochdale | 0 - 4 | York |
| 20 Aug 2024 | York | 1 - 0 | Rochdale |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Rochdale | 0 - 0 | York |
| 28 Aug 2023 | York | 1 - 3 | Rochdale |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.25 | 23.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |