OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Eredivisie · Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Utrecht 1.40 2 - 3 0.80 Nijmegen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 42.2%41%+1.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.5%78%-2.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.2%55%+0.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.1%66%-2.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 64.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.4%24.4%35.2%
xgboost40.5%23.9%35.6%
logistic40.4%26.9%32.7%
Inputs the models saw
UtrechtNijmegen
Elo (pre-match)15951565
Surface Elo15951565
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.80
Form trend0.200.20
Season points per game1.091.00
Season goals for / game1.731.55
Season goals against / game2.821.73
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Utrecht: last 5
07 NovAFC Den Bosch1 - 1D
02 NovHFC Dordrecht3 - 2W
01 NovATelstar2 - 4L
01 NovATelstar2 - 4L
29 OctAKozakken Boys Werkendam1 - 0W
Nijmegen: last 5
31 OctAHeerenveen0 - 1L
31 OctAHeerenveen0 - 1L
25 OctHGroningen2 - 2D
25 OctHGroningen2 - 2D
18 OctHFor Sittard2 - 2D
Head to head
11 Feb 2026Nijmegen1 - 3Utrecht
02 Nov 2025Utrecht1 - 0Nijmegen
15 Mar 2025Utrecht0 - 1Nijmegen
24 Nov 2024Nijmegen1 - 2Utrecht
17 Mar 2024Utrecht1 - 0Nijmegen
23 Sep 2023Nijmegen3 - 0Utrecht
12 Mar 2023Nijmegen2 - 2Utrecht
16 Sep 2022Utrecht0 - 0Nijmegen
29 Apr 2022Utrecht1 - 0Nijmegen
22 Sep 2021Nijmegen0 - 3Utrecht
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4041.7%08 Nov 19:00
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%08 Nov 19:00
Bet3651X2home2.6338.0%08 Nov 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4469.4%08 Nov 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.7037.0%08 Nov 19:00
SportyBet1X2away2.8934.6%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8625.9%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3542.5%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5664.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC